CQ Politics on Grant

Congressional Quarterly still places the Grant-Sali race in the "safe republican" category, primarily because of the make up of the district.

The district’s strong Republican lean is the primary reason CQPolitics.com rates the race as “Safe Republican.” But there are signs that Sali could face a credible challenge from Democratic nominee Larry Grant, a retired business executive.

Inexplicably, the article goes on to cite the 1994 Win of Helen Chenoweth as proof of how tough the district is Dems, even when a wingnut R is nominated. I just don't think that 1994 is a great guide. It was the year of the big R sweep nationwide, so its results could be misleading in a normal year.

The article also asserts that money will be a problem for Grant because Dems have a hard time raising $$ for Idaho, and because Sali can count on good old Club Fopr Growth money. Even so, the article allows that Sali is not a shoo in.

So, take a moment and donate to Grant, and maintain a realistic assessment of Grant's chances. He'll need our help, but it seems everyone agrees that he's got a shot at it.